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GeopoliticsISW2026-10-31

Iran Update, October 30, 2026

Iran is actively disrupting shipping in the Strait of Hormuz using limpet mines to pressure the US into a favorable diplomatic settlement. A Reuters investigation reveals Iran's sophisticated sanction...

Maritime SecuritySanctions EvasionProxy Warfare
GeopoliticsISW2026-10-31

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, October 30, 2026

The Kremlin continues to reject large-scale ceasefires in Ukraine, despite significant Russian casualties and limited territorial gains, while a localized humanitarian ceasefire is underway in Kherson...

Russia-Ukraine WarInformation WarfareMilitary Strategy
GeopoliticsISW2026-10-30

China & Taiwan Update, October 30, 2026

China's CCP conducted widespread purges within the military, reducing the immediate likelihood of major PLA operations. Concurrently, the PLAN executed large-scale exercises near Taiwan, simulating is...

Indo-Pacific SecurityCross-Strait RelationsMilitary Modernization
GeopoliticsReliefWeb2026-10-30

Displacement deepens as Israeli forces push Palestinians into shrinking space

Israeli military operations in Gaza are causing recurrent displacement of Palestinians into shrinking areas, with forces pushing inwards to expand military deployment zones. This has led to the destru...

Humanitarian CrisisWar CrimesInternational Law
GeopoliticsReliefWeb2026-10-30

Impacts of Conflict on Markets and Supply Chains in Afghanistan (July - August 2026)

Conflict, particularly the 2025-2026 Afghanistan-Pakistan hostilities, significantly disrupted market functionality and supply chains in Afghanistan, leading to shop closures, reduced physical access,...

Regional StabilityHumanitarian CrisisEconomic Warfare
Military SystemsDoD2026-10-30

Contracts for Oct. 30, 2026

The U.S. Department of War announced various contracts totaling hundreds of millions of dollars for Army, Navy, and Air Force projects. Key awards include communications support for Army bases in the ...

Military ProcurementDefense ModernizationLogistics and Sustainment

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GeopoliticsOpenAlex2026-05-26

ENTANGLED DETERRENCE: DUAL-USE TECHNOLOGIES AND STRATEGIC STABILITY IN SOUTHERN ASIA

This paper introduces "Entangled Deterrence" to analyze how dual-use emerging technologies destabilize strategic stability in Southern Asia's tripolar nuclear environment. It argues that AI, cyber, an...

Nuclear DeterrenceArms ControlEmerging Technologies
GeopoliticsISW2026-10-29

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, October 28, 2026

Russia continues to support Iranian-backed operations against US allies in the Middle East, providing satellite targeting intelligence to Houthis. The Kremlin seeks economic concessions from the US to...

Russia-Ukraine WarMiddle East ConflictUS-Russia Relations
GeopoliticsISW2026-10-28

Iran Update, October 28, 2026

Russia is actively providing satellite imagery to Houthi forces, enabling them to target Saudi oil and military infrastructure and disrupt global energy markets. This support is part of a broader Russ...

Energy SecurityGeopolitical CompetitionProxy Warfare
GeopoliticsISW2026-10-27

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, October 27, 2026

Russian President Putin reiterated maximalist demands for Ukraine and NATO during calls with Finnish and Norwegian leaders, framing NATO expansion as a root cause of the war. A limited ceasefire was o...

Russia-Ukraine WarNATO ExpansionDiplomacy
GeopoliticsISW2026-10-27

Iran Update, October 27, 2026

Iran is leveraging regional meetings to push for a US-Iran deal aligning with its objectives and attempting to portray the US as the source of regional instability. Iranian-backed Iraqi militias used ...

Regional SecurityProxy WarfareUS Foreign Policy
GeopoliticsISW2026-10-27

China & Taiwan Update, October 27, 2026

China is escalating military pressure on the Philippines in the South China Sea, using naval deployments and rhetoric to assert territorial claims and practice isolation tactics. Concurrently, China i...

South China Sea disputesTaiwan Strait securitySpace warfare
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