Executive Summary
This research explores the external and internal factors shaping Turkish foreign policy in the post-Cold War era, dividing the period into 1990-2002 and 2002-2010. It analyzes systemic, state, and individual levels to understand the influence of structural changes versus governmental agency. The study aims to contribute to the literature by comparing these two distinct phases of Turkish foreign policy evolution.
Why It Matters
This document is crucial for defense and geopolitical analysts as it provides a comprehensive framework for understanding the drivers of Turkish foreign policy, a key NATO member and regional power, in a volatile post-Cold War landscape. Its multi-level analysis offers insights into how external pressures and internal agency shape a nation's strategic orientation.
Key Takeaways
- Turkish foreign policy shifted from being primarily influenced by systemic factors (1990-2002) to being more shaped by internal governmental agency (2002-2010).
- The study utilizes a multi-level analysis (systemic, state, individual) to explain foreign policy changes, integrating Neorealist views with agency-focused approaches.
- Understanding Turkey's foreign policy evolution is critical for assessing its role in regional and global security dynamics.
- The end of the Cold War significantly impacted Turkey's strategic environment, necessitating adaptation in its foreign policy.
- The research highlights the importance of both external pressures and domestic decision-making in shaping a state's international behavior.
Strategic Relevance
Understanding the drivers of Turkish foreign policy is strategically vital due to Turkey's pivotal geographic location, its role in NATO, and its increasing assertiveness in regional conflicts. This analysis helps predict future foreign policy trajectories and potential impacts on alliances and regional stability.