Executive Summary
This study re-conceptualizes the 'Cold War' in the context of the recent US-China trade war, analyzing economic, political, and technological interactions. It examines how mainstream International Relations theories (Realism, Liberalism, Constructivism) explain the strategic competition and trade disputes between the two powers. The paper highlights the acceleration of the US-China trade war, including technology and currency conflicts, and its implications for global order.
Why It Matters
This document is crucial for defense and geopolitical analysts as it provides a theoretical framework for understanding the multifaceted strategic competition between the US and China, extending beyond traditional military aspects to economic and technological warfare. It helps in anticipating future conflict dynamics and policy responses in a 'New Cold War' scenario.
Key Takeaways
- The US-China trade war is re-conceptualized as a 'New Cold War' driven by economic, political, and technological competition.
- Mainstream IR theories (Realism, Liberalism, Constructivism) offer different lenses to understand the drivers and potential outcomes of this strategic rivalry.
- The competition extends significantly into technology, particularly 5G and AI, with implications for global economic and military dominance.
- Protectionist policies and trade disputes have intensified, impacting global trade and fostering a zero-sum game mentality between the two powers.
Strategic Relevance
The paper's analysis of the US-China trade and tech war as a 'New Cold War' is strategically relevant for understanding the evolving nature of great power competition. It underscores how economic and technological dominance are now central to national security and global influence, shaping foreign policy and international relations.