← OSINT Library

Building a Defense-in-Depth Biosecurity Strategy for the AI Era

RAND · Steph Guerra, Aurelia Attal-Juncqua, John P. Tarangelo, Casey Aveggio, Katie Dammer, David Glickstein ·

Executive Summary

This report outlines a comprehensive defense-in-depth biosecurity strategy to mitigate the risks of AI-enabled biological incidents. It identifies nine priority mitigations focusing on managing information access, disrupting material access, deterring nefarious activity, and proactively detecting misuse signals. The strategy emphasizes a layered approach to prevent high-consequence biological attacks by diverse threat actors.

Why It Matters

This document is crucial for defense and geopolitical analysts as it details a strategic framework to counter the emerging threat of AI-enabled biological weapons, which could have catastrophic global security implications. Understanding these mitigations is vital for developing national and international defense postures against future biothreats.

Key Takeaways

  • Effective biosecurity requires a layered strategy combining access controls, detection architectures, and deterrence mechanisms, as no single intervention is sufficient.
  • Different threat actors (e.g., state actors vs. non-state groups) are susceptible to different classes of mitigations, necessitating a comprehensive approach.
  • Proactive investment in research, institutional adaptation, legal clarity, and international coordination is critical to prevent AI-enabled biological incidents before capabilities mature.

Strategic Relevance

The report provides a strategic framework for national security and public health policymakers to address the dual-use nature of AI in biotechnology. It outlines a proactive, defense-in-depth approach to prevent catastrophic AI-enabled biological attacks, emphasizing the need for integrated, multi-layered mitigations across the risk chain.

Source Website

Key Entities

RAND CorporationArtificial Intelligence (AI)BiosecurityBiological WeaponsBiotechnologyThreat ActorsCOVID-19PathogensUS GovernmentAI x Bio

Best For

Policy MakersDefense StrategistsBiosecurity ExpertsIntelligence AnalystsAI Developers

Related Themes

BiodefenseEmerging TechnologiesDual-Use TechnologyGlobal SecurityRisk MitigationInternational Cooperation

Get the week's most relevant defense documents

Subscribe to our free newsletter to receive curated OSINT reports, analysis, and strategic updates directly in your inbox.

Join the briefing Subscribe