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Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, November 4, 2026

ISW · Institute for the Study of War ·

Executive Summary

Russia's drone strike campaign on November 3-4, 2026, caused widespread power outages across central and western Ukraine, targeting energy infrastructure. This continues Russia's winter strategy to degrade Ukraine's energy security and coerce capitulation. Ukrainian forces also conducted long-range strikes against Russian targets, including an Ozon warehouse.

Why It Matters

This document provides a daily assessment of the ongoing Russia-Ukraine conflict, detailing critical military operations, strategic objectives, and the impact of long-range strike campaigns on both sides. Defense analysts should care about this to understand the evolving battlefield dynamics and the strategic implications of infrastructure targeting.

Key Takeaways

  • Russia's long-range drone strikes caused significant power outages across central and western Ukraine, targeting energy infrastructure.
    Source evidence · PDF page 2
    Russia's long-range drone strike campaign against Ukrainian energy infrastructure on the night of November 3 to 4 heavily targeted central and western Ukraine and caused significant power outages across the country.
  • Russia's 2026-2027 winter strike campaign aims to strategically weaken Ukraine's critical infrastructure and economy.
    Source evidence · PDF page 2
    Russia's Winter 2026-2027 strike campaign continues to damage critical infrastructure and the Ukrainian economy with precise and repeated strikes that cause significant damage.
  • Ukrainian forces continued their long-range strike campaign, targeting Russian logistics infrastructure, including an Ozon warehouse.
    Source evidence · PDF page 3
    Ukrainian forces continued their long-range strike campaign against Ozon marketplace warehouses in Russia on the night of November 3 to 4.

Strategic Relevance

The report highlights Russia's persistent strategy of targeting Ukrainian energy infrastructure to degrade its economy and coerce capitulation, mirroring previous winter campaigns. It also details ongoing ground operations and Ukrainian counter-strikes, providing insight into the tactical and strategic objectives of both sides.

Source Website View PDF

Key Entities

RussiaUkraineUkrainian Air ForceUkrainian Ministry of EnergyUkrainian Main Military Intelligence Directorate (GUR)Volodymyr ZelenskyOzon MarketplaceRepublic of AdygeaMikhail RazvozhaevInstitute for the Study of War

Best For

Military AnalystsPolicy MakersIntelligence AnalystsGeopolitical Strategists

Related Themes

Russia-Ukraine WarEnergy SecurityDrone WarfareStrategic BombingGeopolitical ConflictMilitary Operations

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