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Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, September 9, 2026

ISW · Institute for the Study of War ·

Executive Summary

Russian milbloggers are criticizing the pervasive culture of lying within the Russian military regarding battlefield reports, particularly near Lyman, and acknowledging Ukrainian counterattacks. The Kremlin's expansionary fiscal policy, driven by high war spending, is stifling economic growth and forcing cuts to non-war-related expenditures. Russia is also attempting to establish a defense procurement platform similar to Ukraine's Brave1 to bolster air defense for industrial infrastructure.

Why It Matters

This document provides a critical daily assessment of the ongoing Russia-Ukraine war, highlighting key battlefield developments, Russian internal military issues, and the economic impact of the conflict on Russia.

Key Takeaways

  • Russian milbloggers are increasingly critical of false reporting within the military, impacting operational planning and morale.
  • Russia's war spending is causing significant economic strain, leading to a growing budget deficit and cuts to non-military sectors.
  • Ukraine continues to conduct effective long-range strikes against Russian military and industrial targets, exposing Russian air defense vulnerabilities.

Strategic Relevance

The report details the operational realities and strategic challenges faced by both Russia and Ukraine, including Russian military's internal issues, economic pressures on the Kremlin, and Ukraine's successful deep strikes, all of which influence the conflict's trajectory and regional stability.

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Key Entities

RussiaUkraineLymanKremlinRussian Ministry of FinanceRostecVladimir PutinDmitry PeskovNovorossiyskSvyatohirsk

Best For

Defense AnalystsPolicy MakersGeopolitical StrategistsMilitary Intelligence

Related Themes

Russia-Ukraine WarMilitary OperationsEconomic WarfareDefense ProcurementAir DefenseInformation Warfare

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