Executive Summary
This study develops optimal targeting strategies for the Tomahawk-D cruise missile, which can attack multiple 'soft' targets with a single missile by dispensing submunitions. It analyzes kill probabilities based on missile accuracy, bomblet dispersion, and the number of bomblets, aiming to maximize expected kills. The research suggests dispensing bomblets on as many available targets as possible, though operational constraints may dictate other tactics.
Why It Matters
This document provides a detailed analysis of optimal targeting strategies for a multi-target cruise missile, offering critical insights for defense analysts on maximizing weapon effectiveness and understanding the tactical implications of submunition deployment.
Key Takeaways
- The Tomahawk-D missile can attack up to 12 'soft' targets using submunitions from a single missile.
- Optimal strategy suggests dispensing bomblets on as many available targets as possible to maximize expected kills, given missile error and bomblet dispersion assumptions.
- The study uses Monte Carlo simulations to determine kill probabilities based on missile accuracy, bomblet dispersion, and the number of bomblets.
Strategic Relevance
This thesis provides foundational analysis for optimizing the tactical deployment of multi-target cruise missiles, directly impacting force projection, target prioritization, and the efficient use of high-value assets in modern warfare.