Executive Summary
Prabowo Subianto's defense diplomacy has been crucial for modernizing Indonesia's defense capabilities amidst rising Indo-Pacific tensions. This qualitative study highlights advancements in maritime, air, and cyber capabilities through strategic partnerships and major procurements like Rafale jets and Type 209 submarines. Despite progress, challenges remain in strengthening the domestic defense industry and achieving strategic autonomy.
Why It Matters
This document offers critical insights into how a key middle power in the Indo-Pacific is strategically modernizing its defense capabilities through diplomacy and diversified partnerships, providing a model for other nations navigating complex geopolitical competition.
Key Takeaways
- Indonesia's defense modernization under Prabowo Subianto prioritizes maritime, air, and cyber capabilities through strategic acquisitions from diverse international partners.
- Despite significant progress in military hardware procurement, Indonesia faces challenges in developing its domestic defense industry and reducing reliance on foreign suppliers.
- Leadership plays a crucial role in accelerating defense diplomacy outcomes, influencing technology transfer and favorable acquisition terms for middle powers.
- Indonesia's defense spending, at 0.8% of GDP, lags behind regional powers, necessitating a targeted approach to resource allocation for strategic vulnerabilities.
Strategic Relevance
The study details Indonesia's strategic adaptation to Indo-Pacific geopolitical competition through defense diplomacy, highlighting efforts to enhance deterrence, protect sovereignty, and balance strategic autonomy with international partnerships. It provides a case study for understanding middle power strategies in a contested region.